The decarbonisation of the energy system calls for transition to a sustainable state. The transition process is complex and pathways to achieving it will vary between countries. Energy system models are used in exploring the energy futures of countries and regions. The application of wrong models could result in unrealistic projections and consequently poor energy policies. It is upon this premise that this research argues for a sustainable energy transition planning tool tailored for the Oil Rich Sub Saharan Africa (ORSSA) economies. For these economies, energy transition dynamics are more complex given that their economies and existing energy system are deeply intertwined in fossil fuel export and usage. These create nonlinearity, feedbacks, delays and uncertainties making decision making and policy development a complex problem. This research argues for a sustainable energy transition planning tool tailored to the narratives, multi-objectives and complexities of these economies. It proposes an integration of Multi-Level Perspective narrative framework, Systems Thinking and System Dynamics for
development of this model.

Authors: Nkechiwetalu Nwankwo, Titus Olaniyi, Antony Morgan

Published in: World Congress on Sustainable Technologies (WCST-2021)

• Date of Conference: 7-9 December 2021
• DOI: 10.20533/WCST.2021.0009
• ISBN: 978-1-913572-41-9
• Conference Location: Virtual (London, UK)